In the midst of events related to the US elections, scheduled for November 2024, we hear a lot about the upcoming “Super Tuesday.” So what do we know about it?
On March 5, tomorrow, Tuesday, 15 US states will hold primaries in what is called “Super Tuesday,” including Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah. Vermont, and Virginia. Voting will also take place on the territory of the American Samoa Territory.
Results of the Iowa Democratic caucuses, which are conducted by mail-in ballot, are also expected.
It is noteworthy that “Super Tuesday” is the day of the US presidential primary session, which includes the largest number of participating states.
Most experts agree that “Super Tuesday”, as we know it today, began in 1988 when a group of Democrats in the southern states of the United States decided to put this name on the presidential primary process after Republican President Ronald Reagan’s victory four years ago over the Democratic candidate for the White House.
Super Tuesday is of great importance because it represents the selection of more than a third of the delegates who will be appointed to the Republican National Convention, which will be held next July in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.
In the Republican Party competitions, 874 delegates out of 2,429 are competing, including delegates from California and Texas, the two most populous states. At least 1,215 delegates are needed to secure the nomination at the Republican National Convention scheduled for July.
It is noteworthy that the distribution of the number of Republican delegates on “Super Tuesday” across the different states is as follows: Alabama (50), Alaska (29), Samoa (9), Arkansas (40), California (169), Colorado (37), and Maine ( 20), Massachusetts (40), Minnesota (39), North Carolina (74), Oklahoma (43), Tennessee (58), Texas (161), Utah (40), Vermont (17), and Virginia (48).
Americans also vote to choose seats in the Senate, House of Representatives, and state legislatures, in addition to electing prosecutors, judges, and city council members.
The results will begin to flow as soon as the polls in the states and regions close, and the counting of votes usually begins by seven o’clock in the evening, local time for each state.
In contrast, nearly a third of the Democratic delegates on March 5 will be determined through nominating contests in 14 of the 15 states, along with the American territory of Samoa. In Alaska, Democrats will cast their votes on April 6.
It is noteworthy that the Democratic Party nomination is a foregone conclusion for President Joe Biden, who faces no competitors. Democratic Party supporters are expected to rally behind President Biden at the party’s national convention next August in Chicago, Illinois. Biden needs 1,439 delegates out of a total of 3,979 delegates.
Former President Trump remains able to maintain an iron grip on the Republican Party and motivate the electoral base to participate in the primary elections at a greater rate than the Democrats participated in favor of Biden.
Before Super Tuesday, Trump won delegates in Michigan, Missouri and Idaho in the Republican Party elections. These victories reinforce Trump’s move towards securing the Republican Party nomination against his rival, former Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley. Meanwhile, Haley achieved a moral victory in the Republican presidential primary elections in Washington, D.C., which is her first victory in the Republican Party nomination process.
Super Tuesday may be the last chance for Nikki Haley to stop Trump’s bid to obtain the Republican Party’s nomination to run in the presidential race, amid great doubts about her ability to do so.
Trump has repeatedly attacked his rival, Haley, and said that she cannot defeat Biden or any other Democratic candidate, indicating that he is looking forward to achieving an unprecedented victory on “Super Tuesday.”
However, the former president’s biggest and harshest criticisms and attacks focused on his rival Biden, whom Trump accused at a rally in North Carolina of carrying out a conspiracy to overthrow the United States of America. He said that Biden represents the real threat to democracy and wants the American system to collapse and nullify the will of the American voters.
Trump is ahead of Biden by two percentage points, and is ahead of him in swing states, including Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, and Wisconsin, while Biden is ahead of Trump by a small margin in Pennsylvania.
A Harvard University poll reported that Trump is ahead of Biden at the national level by 6 points. The poll said that Trump unites Republicans more strongly than Biden unites Democrats.
On the Democratic side, concerns about President Biden’s age still pose a profound threat to his re-election bid, according to a New York Times poll conducted in collaboration with Siena College. The poll results indicate that the majority of voters who supported him in the 2020 elections say that he is now too old to lead the country effectively. 61% said they believe he is “too old” to be an effective president.
Doubts about Biden’s age span across generations, gender, race and education, underscoring the president’s failure to allay fears within his party and Republican attacks that portray him as senile. 73% of all registered voters felt that he was too old to be effective, and 45% expressed their belief that he could not do the job.
The matter is not only related to Biden’s advanced age. The Washington Post indicated that there is a looming violent reaction for the current president in the Super Tuesday elections, if half of the states participating in the presidential elections tend to vote “non-compliant” in the elections. Ballot card, which indicates the expansion of the leftist voter revolution that was sparked in the state of Michigan last week, after a campaign launched by the Arab and Muslim community. The campaign in the state of Michigan received 101,000 votes under the “non-committed” category, which represented five times the number of votes that occurred in previous primary elections.
Press reports indicated that Muslim Americans and young voters are turning away from Biden because of his bias towards Israel in the war against Gaza, and there is a worrying percentage of black voters who also object to Biden’s handling of the war in Gaza.
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