A thirty-year government will be created that will surpass Stalin, but…
President Putin, who is responsible for Russia’s military invasion of Ukraine, will participate in the presidential elections on March 17 and is poised to win a fifth term with a large number of votes. If elected, he will be able to govern for 30 years until 2030, making him the longest-serving leader since the 20th century, surpassing Stalin.
Photo = SPUTNIK/Jiji Print photo
President Putin delivers a speech at the Council of Deputies commemorating the 30th anniversary of the Russian Federation held at the Hall of Trade Unions in Moscow, December 20, 2023.
On the other hand, a fifth term in power is expected to be more difficult and uncertain. Whether the invasion of Ukraine continues or there is a ceasefire, the war situation and the post-war process will be chaotic. Putin is also 71 years old, which is considered “advanced seniority” considering the short life expectancy of Russian men.
Elites are more interested in government reshuffles, which are directly linked to their interests, than in presidential elections, and elections could lead to changes in the power structure. The succession issue is also being discussed in emerging media and Russian social media, and Russia may move towards a “post-Putin” direction after the presidential elections.
Names of “10 people” highly trusted by the president
On the Russian social network Telegram there is the site “Successor (Priemnik)”, which publishes posts every day about the movements of Kremlin officials and succession issues. It was founded in 2017 and it is unclear who runs it, but he is well versed in the Kremlin’s internal affairs and there is a possibility that some members of the government are involved.
Every month we publish a ranking of the 30 “candidates to succeed Putin” and in a post dated December 5th the top 10 are as follows.
① Vice President of the Security Council Medvedev
②Prime Minister Mishustin
③First Deputy Secretary of the Presidential Administration Kiriyenko
④ Minister of Agriculture Patrushev
⑤Turchak, Secretary General of United Russia
⑥Governor of Dyumin Tula
⑦Moscow Mayor Sobyanin
⑧ President Waino’s Secretary of State
⑨Director of Foreign Intelligence Services (SVR)
⑩ Prosecutor General Krasnov
The list was selected based on factors such as trust, proximity, presidential prospects, elite support, knowledge and skill. It is believed that his successor will be chosen from within the administration.
2023-12-31 00:00:00
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