NİSANUR YILDIRIM – EREN CESUR
(GNAT) – CHP Manisa Deputy Ahmet Vehbi Bakırlıoğlu identified that there was once a major deviation in each enlargement figures and inflation figures within the 2025 funds negotiations of the Ministry of Treasury and Finance ahead of the funds was once enacted. Arguing that the year-end inflation goal might not be completed, Bakırlıoğlu mentioned, “Think that BAĞKUR holds it, SGK retirees will obtain a 16 p.c carry subsequent yr, retired civil servants and civil servants will obtain an 11 p.c carry, and the minimal salary will building up by way of 25 p.c. Are you making an building up for your civil servant’s wage or no longer? “We face an excessively severe housing disaster, we face an excessively severe meals disaster,” he mentioned.
2025 funds discussions between the Ministry of Treasury and Finance and its affiliated organizations proceed within the Grand Nationwide Meeting of Turkey Making plans and Finances Fee.
CHP Manisa Deputy Ahmet Vehbi Bakırlıoğlu said within the funds negotiations that Turkey ranks first amongst OECD nations in meals inflation and that agriculture will likely be disrupted because of this. Criticizing TÜİK’s choice to prevent disclosing the pieces within the meals basket, Bakırlıoğlu identified that the year-end inflation forecast would no longer dangle.
The highlights of Bakırlıoğlu’s statements are as follows:
“When getting ready the funds invoice proposal, the primary of your two maximum necessary parameters was once the year-end inflation of 2025 was once 17.5 p.c, and the second one parameter was once the expansion charge of four p.c, so that you ready this funds in accordance with those. On the other hand, once we have a look at the Central Financial institution’s inflation record, it’s associated with 2025. larger the year-end inflation from 17.5 p.c to 21 p.c, and larger the year-end inflation in 2026 from 9.5 p.c to 21 p.c. We see that it has larger to twelve p.c, which means single-digit inflation appears to be left till 2027. The top of 2024 inflation has larger to 44 p.c. Marketplace individuals additionally larger the expansion charge for 2025 from 3.3 p.c to a few.2 p.c. and the IMF additionally diminished the expansion charge to two.7 p.c.
“Very tricky days are drawing near for our low-income voters”
There’s a severe deviation in each enlargement figures and inflation figures ahead of the funds turns into legislation. This case makes the funds we’re discussing moderately meaningless. I additionally see that those figures are positive relating to enlargement as a result of there’s a severe recession within the business and there are severe decreases in capability usage charges. We have a look at the international industry quantity and spot that there are severe decreases. The ratio of international industry quantity to gross home product will likely be 54 p.c in 2023 and 45.8 p.c in 2024; It’s predicted that it is going to be 44 p.c in 2025. At the one hand, there are indicators of recession, and then again, inflation will proceed. This implies unemployment. This presentations us that very tricky days are drawing near, or a minimum of will proceed, particularly for our fixed-income and low-income voters.
“Many of those lands will stay empty subsequent yr and might not be cultivated.”
Türkiye ranks 1st amongst OECD nations in meals inflation. Meals inflation is falling in all OECD nations. Once we upload up all nation inflation figures, it can not come with regards to Turkey’s meals inflation determine; detrimental in lots of. Central Wholesale Marketplace vegetable costs… Tomatoes had been 40 liras, ultimate yr at the identical date, tomatoes had been 14 liras. Then, when it will get at the shelf, upload any other 30, 40 p.c; You’ll be able to to find the marketplace costs right here. Whilst the numbers are like this, you are saying – or TÜİK says – ‘Meals inflation in Turkey will likely be 41 p.c on the finish of the yr.’ They all have larger and can proceed to extend. Many of those lands will stay empty subsequent yr and might not be cultivated.
Why are you hiding the costs of the products on this basket? Once we requested, they mentioned, ‘Sir, Eurostat does no longer give an explanation for it both.’ Smartly, you had been explaining it. Why did you forestall explaining? For the reason that hole between the figures you introduced and the present value and the marketplace value had widened, and also you gave up explaining it, however you had been explaining the indices. Shall we succeed in the costs within the basket from the ones indices via mathematical calculations, and this was once revealed ultimate July. Accordingly, you claimed in July that the hire within the basket, the typical hire in Turkey, was once 6 thousand 256 liras, white cheese was once 149 liras, and olive oil was once 116 liras. In different phrases, there could also be a hire of 6 thousand liras in Turkey, however this isn’t the typical hire. You’ll be able to persuade me of the rest, however I don’t consider that olive oil was once 116 lira in July, as a result of at the moment the cost of olive oil within the palms of the manufacturer was once 200 lira, 250 lira; The associated fee at the shelf was once 300 lira, 350 lira.
“We face an excessively severe housing disaster”
Your year-end inflation goal is 44 p.c. I believe it is going to no longer be completed as a result of per month inflation must be 1.5 p.c for the following two months. Let’s consider that it holds, if this holds, BAĞKUR, SGK retirees will obtain a 16 p.c carry subsequent yr, retired civil servants and civil servants will obtain an 11 p.c carry, and the minimal salary will building up by way of 25 p.c. Now, how a lot will the legitimate hire building up be in December? If inflation is 44 p.c, the twelve-month reasonable is 62 p.c these days; The determine will likely be 58 p.c on the finish of the yr. Now, 32 p.c of retirees’ revenue is going to hire, in keeping with TUIK, and it’s of essential significance for them. You’re going to give an 11 p.c carry to retirees and say: ‘There will likely be a 58 p.c building up in hire.’ For God’s sake, can this kind of factor occur? Now, 24 p.c of family revenue is going to hire, once more in keeping with TUIK; You’re going to say to the civil servant: ‘I’m supplying you with an 11 p.c carry’, you’ll flip to the minimal salary earner and say: ‘I’m supplying you with a 25-30 p.c carry, however you’ll building up your hire by way of 58 p.c.’ Smartly, this isn’t one thing that may occur, such an absurd state of affairs would most definitely best occur in Turkey. .
How a minimal salary earner lives on 17 thousand liras, how a lot hire he can pay, how he lives, is in point of fact a thriller. Let’s discuss civil servants, let’s discuss our civil servants: Skilled academics obtain a wage of 52 thousand liras these days. With those figures, you’ll give this specialist trainer a carry of eleven p.c, 11.5 p.c, roughly 5 thousand 700 liras within the coming duration. And once more, within the analysis performed by way of TÜİK, the typical hire in Turkey is 17 thousand 800 liras. Let’s assume that TUIK’s figures are proper, shall we embrace that 25 p.c of the family is going to hire, and shall we embrace that any individual who earns 52 thousand liras lives in hire for 13 thousand liras. You’re going to building up the wage of this professional trainer by way of 5 thousand 720 liras. Taking into account that he’s renting for 13 thousand liras, if the condo settlement got here in December, there will likely be a distinction of seven thousand 500 liras. So, are you actually expanding your civil servant’s wage now or no longer? That is in point of fact a troubling state of affairs, we face an excessively severe housing disaster, we face an excessively severe meals disaster. “This may increasingly proceed to be one of the crucial largest issues forward.”
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