In recent years there was motion relating to the best way to unravel the Aegean struggle, with severe Greek-Turkish discussion, bilateral negotiations and the Global Courtroom of Justice at the horizon. Then again, for negotiations to happen with a significant probability of resulting in a contented finishing, six conditions-assessments must follow to each Greece and Turkey:
(1) Damages and sacrifices (financial prices, over the top armaments that convey the 2 nations to their knees, lack of confidence, and so on.) from the continuation of the struggle have turn into unaffordable.
(2) Each events have come to the realization that the strategies of forcing the opponent to just accept our perspectives (ie enforcing our perspectives on him) don’t prevail and don’t seem to be anticipated to prevail someday.
(3) The general positions of the 2 aspects don’t seem to be diametrically antagonistic, because it to start with gave the impression because of a negotiating technique. There’s room for mutual concessions, with either side now not compelled to retreat from the “pink traces” they have got set.
(4) The 2 portions to be keen to make compromises, to restrict their best possible aspirations, and moreover to consider that the instant is ripe for mutual compromises with out nice price.
(5) For each events the account benefits-losses from the deal, as it’s formed, in comparison to the benefits-losses from non-resolution obviously lean in prefer of the deal.
(6) The general resolution bundle now not be regarded as unacceptable and unfair, however regarded as affordable, “a decent compromise”, with mutual, proportional and equivalent concessions from either side; and the sacrifices and damages required for the general resolution bundle now not be regarded as over the top, with different phrases that either side can “reside with”.
Do the above follow lately? I’d challenge to mention that conditions-estimates 2 to six are met, I’ve some doubts in regards to the first situation. There could also be the well known downside that all the time conjures up: the interior political price (Molyviatis faculty).
A key means to conquer the deadlock of now not resolving the Aegean struggle (and through extension the Jap Mediterranean struggle) is to modify the tool from either side, from competitive ethnocentrism and nationalism (Greek and Turkish) and gear politics (energy politics), within the common sense of joint decision, with out “winners” and “losers”. To this finish, I’d counsel for attention some concepts geared toward overcoming.
Initially, the important thing for us Greeks is, in spite of our nice id and love for the Aegean and its islands, to put out of your mind as soon as and for all of the well known distorted belief that “the Aegean is a Greek sea” or a “Greek lake”, as a result of merely it isn’t nor can it ever be, given the in depth Turkish sea coast within the Aegean. Greece isn’t the Greece of 1919-1922 that occupied the realm of Smyrna. And in addition that Greece does now not search – or to be exact it gives the look that it seeks – to unfold to the a ways Jap Mediterranean with the tiny Kastellorizo as a springboard at a breath’s distance from the Turkish coast.
2d, for the Turks, the hot button is to not insist that the Jap Aegean islands don’t give Greece rights as a result of they’re a geological extension of Anatolia, or that Cyprus is a geological extension of Anatolia and threatens them. Nor must they suggest that as a result of they have got the longest sea coast within the Jap Mediterranean (which is arguable, as a result of Egypt additionally has a protracted sea coast within the Mediterranean), they must safe the lion’s proportion of that house.
Thirdly, the positions on either side which are put ahead for negotiation causes and appear in the beginning sight to be unbridgeable are something, and the substantive positions, which don’t seem to be unbridgeable, are every other, as used to be obviously observed with the Greek-Turkish negotiations of the duration 1977-1981 underneath Konstantinos Karamanlis and in 2003 underneath Costas Simitis , the place there have been a number of convergences and nearly settlement, particularly in 2003. The variations of the Aegean, all with out exceptionare amenable to logical and truthful answers with “two winners” (win-win).
Alexis Iraklidis is an emeritus professor of Global Family members at Panteion College
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