At the beginning of the program, Sándor Varga explained why we can consider the two unusually cold weeks that greeted us at the end of April as normal. The polar vortex containing cold air rotating over the Arctic region breaks up under the influence of the sun’s rays, and this air mass begins to flow south. This kind of thing is not only typical for April, as there is still the period of frost saints in May. What was particularly strange and unusual was the unexpected arrival of summer at the beginning of April, with daytime temperatures of 30 degrees in some places.
Rita Nagy-Kurunczi added to this that it is very important to note that cyclones were quite active to the west of us during this period, which brought a lot of precipitation to our region. The result of this was that it snowed recently in the Alps and here too, 5 centimeters of snow fell on Kékestető.
What comes after El Nino until La Nina arrives?
Sándor Varga pointed out that in recent years, El Nino has caused warmer and wetter weather than average, because strong evaporation takes place in the equatorial region of the Pacific Ocean, that is, more moisture enters the air, which eventually reaches us. All this is crowned by the fact that the temperature of the seas is also much higher than usual, and the combined effects of this were not precisely determined by the experts either.
Let’s not forget that the now ending El Nino was one of the strongest recorded since the 1950s
– drew attention to the specialist. He also added that it seems clear that El Nino will run out in June, and then we are looking at a so-called transitional, neutral period until October. But this is also not without danger, because in North America, for example, the strongest tornadoes are measured at this time.
According to Rita Nagy-Kurunczi, we should not forget that February and March of this year were record-warm not only here, but throughout the world. In addition, the temperature of the seas is also at a record high, which is all a result of climate change. And this predicts that drought periods will become more and more frequent in our country, and extreme amounts of precipitation will frequently cause flash floods.
According to meteorologists, the clear losers of climate change will be the seasons. According to pessimistic climate scenarios, September and October may already be summer months by 2100, and the number of frosty periods will decrease in winter.
What kind of May and summer will we have this year?
Toward the end of the conversation, we discussed how much of what kind of May we are looking forward to, based on the current data, can be seen. All that can be said is that the month starts with warm, summery weather, but we will not tell you what will happen next. If you are interested, you should definitely watch or listen to the podcast.
If only because, as a conclusion, we looked forward to the summer weather based on the available international forecasts. All we can say here is that we have a drier three months ahead of us than last year, but the details can be found in the podcast.
In addition to these, the program also mentioned that
- Where did the idea of medical meteorology come from?
- Why is traffic meteorology important today?
- What will the weather in the Carpathian Basin be like in the coming decades?
- Will El Nino and La Nina always determine our weather from now on?
- What do climate scenarios predict?
You can already track the current changes in the weather on the weather subpage of the Index. If you want to know what short- or medium-term forecast is expected in Budapest and in the whole area of Hungary; what warnings are issued for counties and regions, follow the weather subpage of the Index, get information using our renewed radar, satellite and warning maps!
(Cover photo: Sándor Varga and Rita Nagy-Kuruczi. Photo: Zsófi Szollár / Index)
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2024-05-01 02:39:01