If Putin dies or Trump wins… 5 events that could change the world

Delivery times2024-01-02 16:28

Newsweek, a US weekly current affairs magazine, features events that will lead to a “rapidly changing situation” this year.

Masks of former US President Donald Trump (left) and Russian President Vladimir Putin (right) sold in Russia.

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(Seoul = Yonhap News) Reporter Hwang Cheol-hwan = How the world would change if Russian President Vladimir Putin, who waged war in Ukraine for three years, suddenly died, or if former President Donald Trump was re-elected in the next election US presidential elections in November this year?

Newsweek, an American current affairs weekly, reported on the 1st (local time) that it had selected five events that could have a huge impact on the world if they occurred this year in 2024 and had listened to the opinions of relevant experts.

The first event chosen by these media was “nuclear war”.

Since invading Ukraine on February 24, 2022, President Putin has consistently mentioned the possibility of a preemptive nuclear strike and building nuclear weapons infrastructure.

It is believed that they were trying to prevent the West from helping Ukraine by raising fears that if nuclear weapons were used, it would turn into an all-out war with the West and lead to the common annihilation of humanity.

The West did not succumb to these threats and, ultimately, Russia failed to occupy Ukraine and remained mired in a never-ending war of attrition.

When asked about the possibility of Russia using tactical nuclear weapons to overcome this situation, Mark Galeotti, an expert on Russian security issues, responded: “There seems to be no possibility of a nuclear conflict breaking out (this year).” .

Nikola Mikovich, a Serbian foreign policy analyst, also said that Russia would not use nuclear weapons unless it suffered a crushing defeat that would seriously affect President Putin’s government, and even if it did, it would only be a “show of force ” that would not lead to nuclear war, he said.

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Russian President Vladimir Putin visits the Russian military hospital

(Moscow EPA=Yonhap News) Russian President Vladimir Putin visits a military hospital in Moscow, Russia, and encourages soldiers on 1st (local time). 2024.1.1

One event that seemed more realistic was the death of President Putin, who was 71 this year.

Newsweek said, “Putin’s health has been the subject of speculation since the invasion of Ukraine,” and noted that several theories have been put forward, such as that he is battling cancer or suffering from Parkinson’s disease or dementia.

In October last year, the Kremlin even went so far as to deny reports in foreign media that President Putin had suffered cardiac arrest and received cardiopulmonary resuscitation.

Russia also claimed that Ukraine attempted to assassinate President Putin. The truth of this statement has not been confirmed, but in reality several influential supporters of the war were killed or wounded in Russia after the invasion of Ukraine.

“If Putin were to die in 2024, it would have a huge impact on the system he built,” Galeotti said, while Mykovich said: “It would be a big blow to Russian society, but it wouldn’t take long for ruling elites to find a replacement for him.” “He won’t be caught,” he predicted.

Besides that, another rapidly changing situation was the scenario in which former President Trump would win the 2024 US presidential election.

Former US President Donald Trump on the election campaign

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Newsweek pointed out, “If this year’s election proceeds according to recent opinion polls, it is very likely that Trump will win the Republican presidential nomination and face a rematch with incumbent President Joe Biden in November’s presidential election.”

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In this regard, Julie Norman, professor of American politics at University College London (UCL) in the United Kingdom, warned: “Trump’s re-election will have a negative impact around the world.”

He said: “If Trump’s second term becomes a reality, I fear that democratic norms and institutions will be damaged even more than in the first term. This will have a long-term impact on the future of democracy in the United States and neighboring countries.” of the world.” The political position was expected to undergo rapid changes.

Additionally, Newsweek consulted with experts on concerns that the emergence of generative artificial intelligence (AI) ChatGPT could lead to a future in which humanity is dominated by artificial intelligence and on the possibility that global warming and climate change will finally overcome the critical point.

Experts say that while a situation such as a military AI malfunction is unlikely to occur, a situation where many people lose their jobs as AI is used in industrial settings could occur at any time.

Professor Chris Brierley, a climate science expert at UCL, said: “There will be a lot of extreme (climate) events (this year)” and “There will be some that I hadn’t even thought about before.”

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