Scientists predict that artificial intelligence (AI) will influence work life and cultural life, warfare, politics, health and entertainment in various ways in the next five years. Forskning.no spoke with Professor Morten Goodwin and Associate Professor Per-Arne Andersen about ten predictions for how artificial intelligence will change the world until 2029.
They predict that the next few years will be characterized by a new arms race. Powerful countries like the United States and China are building increasingly powerful weapons based on artificial intelligence.
“One country can invent a swarm of drones that are highly intelligent and capable of causing great destruction. Then other countries will work harder to create even more destructive weapons,” Goodwin believes.
Andersen points out that the arms race has already begun and that artificial intelligence plays an important role in today’s battlefields.
“Generals today sit down and make decisions in war, but I think AI will be able to make much better strategic decisions than us humans,” he says.
And which country do scientists think will gain the upper hand in the military AI race? China.
But it won’t just be the military who will notice. Artificial intelligence will be increasingly used to help in everyday life.
AI can help politicians make decisions on everything from bike lanes to new hospitals, Goodwin believes. Digital assistants will also become increasingly widespread in the homes of ordinary people.
Education at all levels will be different. Artificial intelligence will shape the way we learn.
“I don’t think the exam will exist in five years. Why should we test something that artificial intelligence can do better than us? In five years there will still be colleges and universities, but they won’t be what we think of them today,” says Professor Morten Goodwin at Forskning.no.
This does not mean that the entire education system will be razed to the ground.
“Primary and secondary school are so critical to learning how to be human and social and other basic things, that they will pass. But they will have new technologies to help them,” Goodwin believes.
New technology will also revolutionize the entertainment industry. In five years’ time, not only will it be possible to use AI to create films, music, books and video games, it will be the new normal, Goodwin believes.
“Development in this sector is very rapid and these are tools that already exist”, he underlines. The researcher believes that unions, for example in Hollywood, will not have much to show.
The working lives of millions of people will also be affected, in ways that may be difficult to predict. Software development is one of the jobs that will disappear in a few years, researchers believe.
In five years, there won’t be as many tasks for humans to perform, researchers predict. But the jobs people do will become more meaningful.
“I think we misunderstand work today. On the one hand we need money for food, rent and other necessities. On the other hand, we must find meaning in life. We mix these things together without them having anything to do with each other,” Goodwin says.
One of the main questions will be who will profit when workers are replaced by artificial intelligence: will the workers benefit or the owners of capital? We do not know yet. But it is certain that there will be great frustrations and demonstrations in the years to come.
American tech giants like Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg are now investing billions of dollars in the development of artificial general intelligence (AGI). KGI is a very advanced AI technology that is not only good at one thing (like ChatGPT is at text or Midjourney is at images), but that is at least as good at many things as humans.
“I don’t think we will achieve this by 2029, but maybe we will get a kind of Frankenstein AI that combines many different forms of AI,” says Associate Professor Per-Arne Andersen.
Nor does Morten Goodwin think that in the next five years we will have true artificial general intelligence, but he believes that there will be an unexpected breakthrough that will bring us closer.
Artificial intelligence is already actively used in many scientific disciplines. In medicine it can be used, for example, to fight aging, improve cancer diagnosis or develop new drugs.
KI also has important applications in astronomy. In combination with advanced robots, artificial intelligence can be used to explore space, where doing so with humans is expensive or dangerous.
Interplanetary exploration can take hundreds or thousands of years. AI, on the other hand, will be very well suited for the journey.
“Whether they are physical or virtual robots is not so important. But I think they will be sent by 2029, and that Elon Musk will do it,” believes Professor Morten Goodwin.
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