In the 21st century, the birth rate will decrease in almost all countries of the world. But the few countries where the birth rate will remain normal are mostly developing countries. This information was revealed in a research report published by Lancet on Monday (March 18). Qatar-based media Al-Jazeera reported this news on Thursday.
The research paper published in the Lancet warns that by 2100, fertility rates will not be sufficient for normal population growth in almost any country in the world. As a result, the population of 198 out of 204 countries in the world will decrease. At that time, one out of every two children born in the world will be born in sub-Saharan Africa.
According to a study conducted by Washington University’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), those countries are Somalia, Tonga, Niger, Chad, Samoa and Tajikistan. Only in these areas will the birth rate be normal.
But Austin E. Schumacher, co-lead author of the study and acting assistant professor at IHME, cautioned, “A major challenge for sub-Saharan African countries with the highest fertility rates will be to deal with other risks associated with increasing population growth or the risk of potential humanitarian catastrophes.”
The study is based on surveys conducted between 1950 and 2021, census data and various data and other sources collected. The study was conducted as part of the Global Burden of Disease, Injury and Risk Factors Study. More than 8,000 scientists from 150 countries collaborated in this 10-year-long study.
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