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Posted on 01.01.2024 at 19:11 Edited on 01.01.2024 at 19:50 Reporter Jeong In-gyun ([email protected])
Biden remains behind Trump in opinion polls… Even in the most recent survey there was a gap of 4 percentage points.
Both parties will hold primary elections in January… The announcement of the final presidential candidates is expected in the third week of August.
The Democratic Party without alternatives is in an embarrassing situation… If the approval rating cannot be raised by March, will the player be replaced?
Republican primaries begin soon… Haley, sponsored by Cork Network, emerges as Trump’s favorite opponent
On the 23rd of last month, US President Joe Biden left the White House to spend the Christmas holidays. ⓒAP/Yonhap News
The US presidential elections will be held on November 5th. Both US parties are already struggling to come up with an election strategy, predicting a “comeback meeting” between US President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump.
Currently, former President Trump is in control. In various opinion polls conducted last year, President Biden trailed former President Trump by a gap of at least 4 percentage points to as much as 9 percentage points.
A Wall Street Journal (WSJ) poll last month also showed President Biden trailing former President Trump. In this poll, President Biden received only 43% of the vote, falling behind former President Trump (47%) by about 4 percentage points. In a multiparty race that included other candidates who said they would run as independent or minority parties, the gap with former President Trump (37%) widened to 31%.
Despite being at a disadvantage, the Democratic Party cannot find any alternative. With the atmosphere in the US political world making a re-election of the incumbent president a norm, no one has emerged within the party to replace President Biden. Progressive writer Marianne Williamson and Rep. Dean Phillips are in the Democratic presidential nomination race, but their approval ratings are so low as to be virtually nonexistent.
Politico, an American political media outlet, predicted: “The Democratic Party has arrived at a situation where it is forced to reenact President Biden,” and added: “While he is showing the worst presidential approval rating in history, the The Democratic Party will have to find an alternative.”
According to an opinion poll released by Fox News on the 18th of last month, President Biden’s approval rating was 34%, the lowest among opinion polls conducted during his term. Fox News analyzed that the main causes were soaring prices and invisible government investments after the COVID-19 pandemic (a global infectious disease pandemic).
Politico said: “The Democratic Party will watch approval ratings until the first Super Tuesday (March 15) and then make a decision,” and added: “Democratic Party election strategists, who show a relatively stronger response sensitive to the Republican Party, they are also considering ‘player replacement’.” He said.
The Democratic Party plans to begin primaries in South Carolina on February 3 next year and then move to the central region and then the western region. After completing a six-month primary process, the final Democratic presidential nominee will be selected in Chicago, Illinois, in the third week of August.
Former US President Donald Trump assures supporters of victory at a rally in Waterloo, Iowa, on the 19th of last month. ⓒAP/Yonhap News
Meanwhile, the Republican Party will begin the full-scale selection of its presidential candidate, starting with the Iowa primaries on the 15th. The Republican primaries begin in the Eastern region, move to the Western region, and end in the Central region. Republican presidential candidates will complete their final primaries in Wisconsin on July 15. The final candidate will be selected at the Republican National Convention in the third week of August in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.
Former President Trump, who is dominant within the party, appears likely to win the primary, but a dark horse has emerged. Nikki Haley is the former United Nations Ambassador. She announced her candidacy for president in February last year and her approval rating is growing rapidly, receiving enthusiastic support from centrist conservatives.
On the 26th of last month, Real Clear Politics, a political media outlet, announced the approval ratings for each Republican candidate based on the average of several public opinion polls. Here former Ambassador Haley attracted the attention of the US media by recording 10.8%. This is thanks to the fact that he, who started with an approval rating of only 2-3%, quadrupled his approval rating in just six months. In this regard, CNN pointed out: “Considering that the announced approval rating is average, its recent growth is frighteningly fast” and “To accurately understand Haley’s trend theory, it is necessary to pay attention to the rating of liking by region”.
According to a poll released by the American Research Group on the 21st of last month, Haley obtained 16% of the votes in Iowa, where the first primaries were held, narrowing the gap with Trump, who obtained 51%, and in New Hampshire, in the second primaries, Haley received 29% and 33%, while Trump, who got, trailed within the margin of error.
Former United Nations Ambassador Nikki Haley speaks at a meeting in North Conway, New Hampshire on the 28th of last month. ⓒAFP/Yonhap News
Regarding former Ambassador Haley’s rise, the WSJ stated: “The Republican Party’s orthodox and moderate conservative forces, which have felt a crisis due to the various variables of former President Trump, are grouping around the former ambassador Haley” and “In particular, Koch, a longtime Republican Party supporter, “The network is giving full support to former Ambassador Haley, creating tension for former President Trump,” he analyzed.
Former Ambassador Haley’s reasonable image and stable background have attracted moderate conservative supporters, and the Koch network, known as a major player in the Republican Party, is changing the rules of the game by supporting her. The Koch Network is a long-standing Republican advocacy group that supports liberal values and promotes small government.
However, in the 2016 presidential election, when former President Trump promised protectionism and hard-line immigration policies that conflicted with liberalism, they began to publicly criticize him and to this day oppose the choice of former President Trump as the presidential candidate . former Ambassador Haley is supporting. According to the WSJ, Koch has spent about $20 million (about 30 billion won) on advertising for former Ambassador Haley and plans to spend more than $70 million during the presidential primaries.
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2024-01-01 10:11:00
#Biden #Trump #dominant #return #match #replacement #candidate #dark #horse #rise