The Russian Federation and the Republic of Armenia have obligations towards each other, including in terms of territorial integrity and sovereignty preservation and security. Russian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Zakharova expressed this idea in the February 7 briefing, addressing the issue of the change in Armenia’s foreign political vector. According to Zakharova, “they hope that the Armenian government will take all that into account in the background of the current geopolitical change” and make the right choice.
Zakharova also had in mind the circumstance of CSTO area of responsibility. Briefings with such emphasis by the spokesperson of the Russian Foreign Ministry are regular, and it seems that there is nothing new here. However, the question needs a deep consideration, because the statements and notes of the “brave” are not the answer to the problems and risks arising from it, at least from the point of view of solving Armenia’s problems. There is no doubt that underlining Zakharova’s tone is the threat, the security threat. The formula here is very simple: the Russians will implement this threat at the hands of Azerbaijan, in agreement with Turkey. What is Armenia’s ability to manage these risks? At the same time, the question needs both a quantitative and a temporal answer.
What volume do we have to counteract those risks, and how long to reach even the necessary volume? Of course, today, in the field of mere rhetoric, addressing harsh answers to Russia has become quite a popular activity, and in the case of some, it may also be profitable, bringing income not only from Russia’s opposing or competing fields, but also perhaps from Russia itself. I have said many times that such a situation gives Moscow an “argument” of anti-Russianness in Armenia, and therefore “alibis” for itself in the propaganda field.
However, beyond all that, no matter how justified the answers to Russia are from the emotional or political, military-political point of view, the issue remains exactly that: the scope and time possibility of countering the existing threats. If in that matter, Iran will be the refuge of Armenia, according to the logic of any country, the West, collectively or separately, then it will probably be another delusion of the Armenian people and the history of Armenia, which will certainly give a new and fresh opportunity for various rhetoric and internal and external accusations to be redirected or addressed. , but in no way will it bring back the losses that Armenia will have due to that delusion. The whole question is whether in Armenia there are deep institutional mechanisms for the search and development of answers to important questions of vital significance, which are subject not to modern social demands arising from apparent realities, but to the vital interests of the Republic of Armenia.
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